Quote:
Originally Posted by melikhan
You do have better chance, I got 2 lf4 from 25 keys. On normal days it didn't work with 100? (Do not try to tell me I was just lucky, this proves that the chances are higher at lf4 day )
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Do you know how hazard works ?
Let say that I want a list of 10 numbers between 0 and 9999999999.
this list can be "1111111111" or "1234567890" or "16956397" but because we're humans, we believe that there is more chances to get the third list. But that's not the case.
What i want to show you with this example is that hazard IS hazard, mainly when we are talking about Bp.
You say that you got 2 lf4 in 25 booty during the event and that you got 1 lf4 in 100 booty in normal time.
So if a just think a little bit, I have : During Event : 1 lf4 for 12,5 booty = 1/12,5
Else : 1 lf4 for 100 booty. = 1/100
That's weird , no? Bp said chances are x2. But for you, chances are almost x10.
That's the proof that you ARE very lucky.
Then, next time, read the entire text about the event and think about it.
Me too, I understood it a lot of time after the first event.
They say that : There is x2 chances that a npc loot a booty box, because pirates are in the sector or something like that. And BECAUSE of this, you have x2 chances to open a booty and BECAUSE of this, you have x2 chances for an lf4.
Thanks for reading