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Gambler

Discussion on Gambler within the CO2 Bots & Macros forum part of the Conquer Online 2 category.

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Old 05/15/2007, 18:33   #31
 
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bro how can this works???
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Old 05/16/2007, 12:42   #32
 
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worth a try
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Old 05/19/2007, 06:23   #33
 
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im gonna be rich tks man
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Old 05/19/2007, 17:30   #34
 
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This doesnt seem to work too well, profit-wise >.>
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Old 06/09/2007, 01:43   #35
 
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were do i get the gamble.rar thing some one help!!!
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Old 06/15/2007, 19:12   #36
 
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any one pleas give me program of money
i will tahnk him for ever :axe: :axe: :flame:
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Old 06/16/2007, 02:09   #37
 
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Quote:
Originally posted by TETO1001@Jun 15 2007, 19:12
any one pleas give me program of money
i will tahnk him for ever :axe: :axe: :flame:
hm if you receive next time some porns... it wasn`t me D D D

good idea.. why i never made something like that =P.

i try it and report if i won something o0

edit: oh i saw you and your brother last time xDD !!

.. noobshit!! it dont work:

Code:
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Old 06/20/2007, 20:00   #38
 
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if i flip a coin and get heads 6 times in a row, what is the possibility of me getting heads again? 50%

the possibility of flipping heads 7 times in a row is very low, but not flipping heads the 7th time
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Old 06/24/2007, 16:17   #39
 
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Quote:
Originally posted by isostar+Jun 26 2006, 18:51--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (isostar @ Jun 26 2006, 18:51)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'>
Quote:
Originally posted by -bigassmuffin@Jun 26 2006, 18:40
<!--QuoteBegin--HaXnZ
Quote:
@Jun 25 2006, 19:28
Instead of making a macro for gambling, why not make a bot? It would read the results of the big/small roll, and keep notes of how many times one has happened in a row. When one happens three times in a row, it would then bet on the opposite with 10k. If it happens four times in a row, it would bet 30k. In that way, you can make the odds work in your favor, and gamble overnight (though it would not likely gain you very much, and it is probably much more profitable to bot and hunt, or even bot and level).

It doesn't matter, say it rolls BIG 400 TIME IN A ROW!..

The 401st roll still has a 50% chance of being big, and a 50% chance of being small..
No. Lets say u go gambling 4x. 50pc big 50pc small. lets say big wins. Overall probability that big wins again is then 25% not 50% and probability that big wins 3x in a row is only 12.5 pc and probability that big wins 4x in a row is only 6.25pc. I talk about overall probability. This means, u know u will gamble 4x, this means u have 6.25 pc chance big will win 4x in a row, not 50pc... so if big wins 4x in a row, you should gamble on small Dont teach me, im good at maths. [/b][/quote]
if u were good at maths, u wouldn't say this shit.... chance of big is 50% and of small 50% , and it doesnt matter if ya get 300 bigs in a row, propability that the 301st will be big is still 50%.....
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Old 06/30/2007, 22:43   #40
 
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its good but i have to reset every time it goes top coner and i cant get it back :'(
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Old 07/01/2007, 06:43   #41
 
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Quote:
Originally posted by Chochlik+Jun 24 2007, 16:17--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (Chochlik @ Jun 24 2007, 16:17)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'>
Quote:
Originally posted by -isostar@Jun 26 2006, 18:51
Quote:
Originally posted by -bigassmuffin@Jun 26 2006, 18:40
<!--QuoteBegin--HaXnZ
Quote:
Quote:
@Jun 25 2006, 19:28
Instead of making a macro for gambling, why not make a bot?* It would read the results of the big/small roll, and keep notes of how many times one has happened in a row.* When one happens three times in a row, it would then bet on the opposite with 10k.* If it happens four times in a row, it would bet 30k.* In that way, you can make the odds work in your favor, and gamble overnight (though it would not likely gain you very much, and it is probably much more profitable to bot and hunt, or even bot and level).

It doesn't matter, say it rolls BIG 400 TIME IN A ROW!..

The 401st roll still has a 50% chance of being big, and a 50% chance of being small..

No. Lets say u go gambling 4x. 50pc big 50pc small. lets say big wins. Overall probability that big wins again is then 25% not 50% and probability that big wins 3x in a row is only 12.5 pc and probability that big wins 4x in a row is only 6.25pc. I talk about overall probability. This means, u know u will gamble 4x, this means u have 6.25 pc chance big will win 4x in a row, not 50pc... so if big wins 4x in a row, you should gamble on small Dont teach me, im good at maths.
if u were good at maths, u wouldn't say this shit.... chance of big is 50% and of small 50% , and it doesnt matter if ya get 300 bigs in a row, propability that the 301st will be big is still 50%..... [/b][/quote]
exactly what i was thinking, the possibility of small:big doesnt change no matter how many times you get big, or how many times you get small, the only way it can change is if its rigged
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Old 07/05/2007, 01:52   #42
 
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doesnt work
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Old 07/05/2007, 06:09   #43
 
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Quote:
Originally posted by newbie461+Jul 1 2007, 06:43--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (newbie461 @ Jul 1 2007, 06:43)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'>
Quote:
Originally posted by -Chochlik@Jun 24 2007, 16:17
Quote:
Originally posted by -isostar@Jun 26 2006, 18:51
Quote:
Originally posted by -bigassmuffin@Jun 26 2006, 18:40
<!--QuoteBegin--HaXnZ
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
@Jun 25 2006, 19:28
Instead of making a macro for gambling, why not make a bot? It would read the results of the big/small roll, and keep notes of how many times one has happened in a row. When one happens three times in a row, it would then bet on the opposite with 10k. If it happens four times in a row, it would bet 30k. In that way, you can make the odds work in your favor, and gamble overnight (though it would not likely gain you very much, and it is probably much more profitable to bot and hunt, or even bot and level).

It doesn't matter, say it rolls BIG 400 TIME IN A ROW!..

The 401st roll still has a 50% chance of being big, and a 50% chance of being small..

No. Lets say u go gambling 4x. 50pc big 50pc small. lets say big wins. Overall probability that big wins again is then 25% not 50% and probability that big wins 3x in a row is only 12.5 pc and probability that big wins 4x in a row is only 6.25pc. I talk about overall probability. This means, u know u will gamble 4x, this means u have 6.25 pc chance big will win 4x in a row, not 50pc... so if big wins 4x in a row, you should gamble on small Dont teach me, im good at maths.

if u were good at maths, u wouldn't say this shit.... chance of big is 50% and of small 50% , and it doesnt matter if ya get 300 bigs in a row, propability that the 301st will be big is still 50%.....
exactly what i was thinking, the possibility of small:big doesnt change no matter how many times you get big, or how many times you get small, the only way it can change is if its rigged [/b][/quote]
That's not what he's talking about. You all are only thinking the independent events. They are very much necessary in applying normality but once that is established the overall becomes much more important. While it is true that the probability of the 301st spin being big is still 50% the overall probability of 301 bigs in a row is so small you might as well call it impossible. Besides this game no matter how many times you say it is NOT random. Human minds cannot think randomly (we enjoy patterns too much) and because humans made these programs they cannot be random themselves. They run off an algorithm and I can assure you that the algorithm would not allow such an outstanding outlier happen. If the bot could be tunned into this huge profits could be made from that gambler. (Before anyone starts, no, I don't know code so I don't even know how impossible what I just said is.)

Oh and yes, I have taken advanced statistics classes so I know what I'm talking about.
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Old 07/09/2007, 21:05   #44
 
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Quote:
Originally posted by napolm+Jul 5 2007, 06:09--></span><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (napolm @ Jul 5 2007, 06:09)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'>
Quote:
Originally posted by -newbie461@Jul 1 2007, 06:43
Quote:
Originally posted by -Chochlik@Jun 24 2007, 16:17
Quote:
Originally posted by -isostar@Jun 26 2006, 18:51
Quote:
Originally posted by -bigassmuffin@Jun 26 2006, 18:40
<!--QuoteBegin--HaXnZ
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
@Jun 25 2006, 19:28
Instead of making a macro for gambling, why not make a bot?* It would read the results of the big/small roll, and keep notes of how many times one has happened in a row.* When one happens three times in a row, it would then bet on the opposite with 10k.* If it happens four times in a row, it would bet 30k.* In that way, you can make the odds work in your favor, and gamble overnight (though it would not likely gain you very much, and it is probably much more profitable to bot and hunt, or even bot and level).

It doesn't matter, say it rolls BIG 400 TIME IN A ROW!..

The 401st roll still has a 50% chance of being big, and a 50% chance of being small..

No. Lets say u go gambling 4x. 50pc big 50pc small. lets say big wins. Overall probability that big wins again is then 25% not 50% and probability that big wins 3x in a row is only 12.5 pc and probability that big wins 4x in a row is only 6.25pc. I talk about overall probability. This means, u know u will gamble 4x, this means u have 6.25 pc chance big will win 4x in a row, not 50pc... so if big wins 4x in a row, you should gamble on small Dont teach me, im good at maths.

if u were good at maths, u wouldn't say this shit.... chance of big is 50% and of small 50% , and it doesnt matter if ya get 300 bigs in a row, propability that the 301st will be big is still 50%.....

exactly what i was thinking, the possibility of small:big doesnt change no matter how many times you get big, or how many times you get small, the only way it can change is if its rigged
That's not what he's talking about. You all are only thinking the independent events. They are very much necessary in applying normality but once that is established the overall becomes much more important. While it is true that the probability of the 301st spin being big is still 50% the overall probability of 301 bigs in a row is so small you might as well call it impossible. Besides this game no matter how many times you say it is NOT random. Human minds cannot think randomly (we enjoy patterns too much) and because humans made these programs they cannot be random themselves. They run off an algorithm and I can assure you that the algorithm would not allow such an outstanding outlier happen. If the bot could be tunned into this huge profits could be made from that gambler. (Before anyone starts, no, I don't know code so I don't even know how impossible what I just said is.)

Oh and yes, I have taken advanced statistics classes so I know what I'm talking about. [/b][/quote]
Exactly. I've also went through alot of statistics, but i'll just explain it with simple words:

Lets think of this game:

You have black ball and white ball in same closed bag.

Lets call "Attempt" the process when u take out a ball (after you pull it out, you return it to back to the bag). The result (no matter the color) is called "Event".

Events are indepentent (the result of each attempt doesn't affect next or previos attempts). For each event you have 0.5 chance (probability is measured from 0-1 or 0-100%)

But if you pull a ball from bag 34756345349573498534 times, you will notice that the probability stabilises at 0.5

So lets say you pull black ball 1000x in a row.This means you are 100% successful at pulling black balls. The probability of getting black ball in 1001th attempt is still 0.5, BUT if you have in mind, that after alot of attempts probability will end up at 0.5, you can expect series of white balls.

Thats a simplified explanation, however it may seem paradoxic.

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Old 07/16/2007, 02:20   #45
 
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lol This is I think my 4th or 5th time on this thread and I keep meaning to download it but I keep getting distracted! Not this time, I shall pwn (hopefully) the gamblers face!


*edit* Nevermind... My cat's are out of food. I need to go to the store...
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