Proven Theory

[Hojo]

yeah umm, also, how is this "proven"

did you program it?

[chocoman4k]

Hmm strange, I was killing 1000 monsters in ape canyons, got 1 meteor.
Then I was bored and looked at this thread, then I continued hunting at firerats and got a -5 1h, +1 archer coat, 2 meteors and a refined glaive within the next 250 kills. Coincidence?

[Rancid-Milk-Man]

Originally posted by Hojo@Mar 17 2006, 16:52
yeah umm, also, how is this "proven"

did you program it?

No I tested it out.

[Rancid-Milk-Man]

Originally posted by chocoman4k@Mar 17 2006, 17:16
Hmm strange, I was killing 1000 monsters in ape canyons, got 1 meteor.
Then I was bored and looked at this thread, then I continued hunting at firerats and got a -5 1h, +1 archer coat, 2 meteors and a refined glaive within the next 250 kills. Coincidence?

:nice:

[chocoman4k]

Originally posted by chocoman4k@Mar 17 2006, 17:16
Hmm strange, I was killing 1000 monsters in ape canyons, got 1 meteor.
Then I was bored and looked at this thread, then I continued hunting at firerats and got a -5 1h, +1 archer coat, 2 meteors and a refined glaive within the next 250 kills. Coincidence?

OK, didn't get anything for the next 750 kills at firerats. So at 2000 kills I moved to ratlings and got a +1 1h, a meteor, ref 1 sock bs, ref warrior armor, elite tao cap within first 300 kills and got disturbed by a blackname pker. Strange, I will continue testing this.
TQ maybe tries to avoid that people stay too long at the same spot and get a lot of nice items with bots.

Edit: After a -5 tao robe and +1 warrior helmet I had to stop, work is calling. When I come back I will see if this was coincidence or not :P

[kiom]

Sometimes i get more stuff right away, sometimes dont.

Sometimes when i plvl noobs at canyon snakes i get nothing at all, maybe - 5 dmg :P

Last time got db in 15 minutes of plvling.

[img]text2schild.php?smilienummer=1&text=Luck :P' border='0' alt='Luck :P' />

[twgoedhart]

Originally posted by SmartGuy@Mar 17 2006, 08:37
hrm, i think, its chanced, kinda like ragnarok, pretend the pheasant has a chance of dropping the following:

Dragonball, Meteor, Sword, Blade, Spear, and wand(Forgot wat the low lvl weapons were named)

The chance of each item dropping is:

Sword: 100%
Blade: 50%
Spear: 25%
Wand: 12%
Meteor: 1%
DragonBall: 00.05%

And the chances of the sword, Blade, Spear, and wand being a super is 00.05%

Thats just my theory.

I doubt these things are set in this way, if this would be true I could predict how many items I would pick up after killing a certain amount of monsters.

Say the chance is killing 1 pheasant out of 100 pheasants to get an unique item to drop, then you could predict that when you kill 10.000 pheasants most likely 100 uniques would have dropped.

I hunt a lot, most of my time now for a year, but never I have seen anything that could be explained with statistics.